{"id":325,"date":"2020-04-25T15:53:10","date_gmt":"2020-04-25T11:53:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uniprice.az\/?p=325"},"modified":"2020-04-25T15:53:10","modified_gmt":"2020-04-25T11:53:10","slug":"koronavirus-pandemiyasinin-dasinmaz-%c9%99mlak-bazarina-t%c9%99siri-v%c9%99-ehtimal-edil%c9%99n-n%c9%99tic%c9%99l%c9%99ri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uniprice.az\/en\/koronavirus-pandemiyasinin-dasinmaz-%c9%99mlak-bazarina-t%c9%99siri-v%c9%99-ehtimal-edil%c9%99n-n%c9%99tic%c9%99l%c9%99ri\/","title":{"rendered":"Koronavirus pandemiyas\u0131n\u0131n da\u015f\u0131nmaz \u0259mlak bazar\u0131na t\u0259siri v\u0259 ehtimal edil\u0259n n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259ri"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-47f9fce elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"47f9fce\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Koronavirus pandemiyas\u0131n\u0131n da\u015f\u0131nmaz \u0259mlak bazar\u0131na t\u0259siri v\u0259 ehtimal edil\u0259n n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259ri<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ab5a200 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"ab5a200\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\">\n<p><strong>M\u00f6vcud v\u0259ziyy\u0259t<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Haz\u0131rda b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyada koronavirus pandemiyas\u0131, karantin v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti v\u0259 maliyy\u0259 b\u00f6hran\u0131 ham\u0131n\u0131 ehtiyyatl\u0131 olma\u011fa vadar edib. O c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n, f\u0259rdl\u0259r, i\u015f adamlar\u0131, investorlar, m\u00fc\u0259ssis\u0259l\u0259r v\u0259 h\u0259m\u00e7inin d\u00f6vl\u0259t qurumlar\u0131 ehtiyatl\u0131 q\u0259rarlar q\u0259bul edirl\u0259r. Haz\u0131rk\u0131 durum g\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259n olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan v\u0259 proqnoza s\u0131\u011fmayan bir d\u00f6vrd\u0259 ba\u015f verdiyind\u0259n ham\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u0259tin duruma sal\u0131b. Ki\u00e7ik v\u0259 mikrobiznes tam dayan\u0131qs\u0131z v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259, iri biznes qurumlar\u0131n\u0131n bir \u00e7oxu is\u0259 f\u0259aliyy\u0259tini tam v\u0259 ya qism\u0259n dondurub.\u00a0 Bu problem da\u015f\u0131nmaz \u0259mlak bazar\u0131ndan da yan ke\u00e7m\u0259yib. Tikinti \u015firk\u0259tl\u0259ri yar\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u0259 i\u015fl\u0259yir, \u0259mlak\u00e7\u0131lar evl\u0259r\u0259 \u00e7\u0259kilibl\u0259r, qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndiricil\u0259r g\u00f6zl\u0259m\u0259 m\u00f6vqeyind\u0259dirl\u0259r, banklar v\u0259 s\u0131\u011forta\u00e7\u0131lar da v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259n \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f yollar\u0131 axtarmaqdad\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n<p>Ad\u0259t\u0259n \u00f6lk\u0259nin da\u015f\u0131nmaz \u0259mlak bazar\u0131nda al\u0131c\u0131lar \u0259sas\u0259n investorlar v\u0259 f\u0259rdl\u0259r olub ki, onlar da m\u00fcxt\u0259lif s\u0259b\u0259bl\u0259rd\u0259n bazar\u0131 t\u0259rk edibl\u0259r. Haz\u0131rda bazarda yaranm\u0131\u015f v\u0259ziyy\u0259t investorlar\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259m\u0259 m\u00f6vqeyin\u0259 \u00e7\u0259kilm\u0259y\u0259 s\u00f6vq edib. Onlar \u0259mlak\u0131 t\u0259mir edib yenid\u0259n satmaq, icar\u0259y\u0259 verm\u0259k kimi probleml\u0259rl\u0259 \u00fczl\u0259\u015fdikl\u0259rind\u0259n bazardan h\u0259l\u0259lik \u00e7\u0131x\u0131blar. Dig\u0259r qrup al\u0131c\u0131lar is\u0259 g\u0259lirl\u0259rin azalmas\u0131ndan, i\u015f yerl\u0259rini itir\u0259c\u0259kl\u0259ri qorxusundan bazara girm\u0259y\u0259 ehtiyat edirl\u0259r.<\/p>\n<p>Tikinti \u015firk\u0259tl\u0259rinin d\u0259 v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti he\u00e7 d\u0259 \u00fcr\u0259ka\u00e7an deyil. \u0130\u015f\u00e7il\u0259rin davamiyy\u0259ti natamamd\u0131r, maliyy\u0259 resurslar\u0131 da m\u0259hdudla\u015f\u0131r. Bu bax\u0131mdan bir m\u00fcdd\u0259td\u0259n sonra, b\u0259lk\u0259 d\u0259, karantind\u0259n sonra tikinti il\u0259 m\u0259\u015f\u011ful olan ki\u00e7ik i\u015f adamlar\u0131 \u0259ll\u0259rind\u0259 olan natamam v\u0259 sat\u0131lmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olan obyektl\u0259ri d\u0259y\u0259r-d\u0259ym\u0259zin\u0259 sat\u0131b ya bazardan tam \u00e7\u0131xma\u011fa \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck ver\u0259c\u0259k v\u0259 ya da maliyy\u0259 probleml\u0259rini m\u00fcv\u0259qq\u0259ti h\u0259ll ed\u0259r\u0259k layih\u0259l\u0259rini ax\u0131ra \u00e7atd\u0131rmaq ist\u0259yind\u0259 olacaqlar. Bununla da da\u015f\u0131nmaz \u0259mlak bazar\u0131na bu m\u00fcdd\u0259td\u0259 investisiya ax\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n azalaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dcmumiyy\u0259tl\u0259 \u00f6t\u0259n m\u00fcdd\u0259t \u0259rzind\u0259, pandemiya d\u00f6vr\u00fcnd\u0259 da\u015f\u0131nmaz \u0259mlak bazar\u0131nda m\u00fcxt\u0259lif trendl\u0259r m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 edildi. Pandemiyan\u0131n ilk aylar\u0131nda (yanvar v\u0259 fevral aylar\u0131nda), h\u0259l\u0259 bizim \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 pandemiyan\u0131n t\u0259sirl\u0259ri hiss edilm\u0259y\u0259nd\u0259, lakin neft birjalar\u0131nda qiym\u0259t trendi azalan x\u0259tl\u0259 h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259t ed\u0259nd\u0259, bir \u00e7ox ehtiyyatl\u0131 insanlar \u0259ll\u0259rind\u0259 olan manat\u0131n d\u0259y\u0259rini saxlamaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn da\u015f\u0131nmaz \u0259mlak bazar\u0131na yat\u0131rd\u0131lar v\u0259 o vaxt da\u015f\u0131nmaz \u0259mlaka qiym\u0259t trendi yuxar\u0131 h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259t edirdi. Sonrak\u0131 aylarda is\u0259 trend mart ay\u0131nda stabill\u0259\u015fs\u0259 d\u0259, aprel ay\u0131nda is\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259r t\u0259dric\u0259n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259t etm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131b. Yaranm\u0131\u015f v\u0259ziyy\u0259t uzun m\u00fcdd\u0259tli olsa, dig\u0259r \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 oldu\u011fu kimi, bizim d\u0259 da\u015f\u0131nmaz \u0259mlak bazar\u0131 i\u015ftirak\u00e7\u0131lr\u0131 distant \u0259qdl\u0259r\u0259 ke\u00e7\u0259c\u0259kl\u0259r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ehtimallar<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Haz\u0131rk\u0131 durumda da\u015f\u0131nmz \u0259mlak bazar\u0131na proqnoz verm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bir \u00e7ox faktorlar\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 almaq laz\u0131md\u0131r, o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri v\u0259 bazara d\u00f6vl\u0259t d\u0259st\u0259yini. Bir ne\u00e7\u0259 variant\u0131n \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 dayanmaq olar: b\u00f6hran, orta, neqativ bazar.<\/p>\n<p>I \u2013 haz\u0131rk\u0131 karantin yay aylar\u0131na q\u0259d\u0259r davam ets\u0259, neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri is\u0259 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 (25-30 $\/barrel) qalsa, qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si (20-25%) qa\u00e7\u0131lmaz olacaq.<\/p>\n<p>II \u2013 karantin may ay\u0131nda bizim \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 v\u0259 bir \u00e7ox inki\u015faf etmi\u015f \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 ba\u015fa \u00e7at\u0131r, neft birjalar\u0131nda qiym\u0259tl\u0259r b\u00fcdc\u0259d\u0259 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulan s\u0259viyy\u0259y\u0259 yax\u0131n olur v\u0259 bohrandan z\u0259r\u0259r \u00e7\u0259kmi\u015f sah\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli d\u00f6vl\u0259t d\u0259st\u0259yi olursa, qiym\u0259tl\u0259r sabit qal\u0131r v\u0259 ilin sonuna 5-6% art\u0131m ola bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n<p>III \u2013 karantin q\u0131sam\u00fcdd\u0259tli olur, nef qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 olur, tikintiy\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t d\u0259st\u0259yi qism\u0259n g\u00f6st\u0259rilir v\u0259 ilkin bazarda qiym\u0259tl\u0259r nisb\u0259t\u0259n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr (10% \u0259traf\u0131nda) v\u0259 ard\u0131nca m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n gecikm\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 t\u0259krar bazarda da qiym\u0259tl\u0259r eyni ssenari il\u0259 h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259t edir.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>AQC s\u0259dri N\u00fcsr\u0259t \u0130brahimov<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Koronavirus pandemiyas\u0131n\u0131n da\u015f\u0131nmaz \u0259mlak bazar\u0131na t\u0259siri v\u0259 ehtimal edil\u0259n n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259ri [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":326,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/uniprice.az\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/325"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/uniprice.az\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/uniprice.az\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uniprice.az\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uniprice.az\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=325"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/uniprice.az\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/325\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":327,"href":"https:\/\/uniprice.az\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/325\/revisions\/327"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uniprice.az\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/326"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/uniprice.az\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=325"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uniprice.az\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=325"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uniprice.az\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=325"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}